SGP Correlation, Explained for DFS & Pick’em (2025): Why Some Combos Pay Less — With Examples
Oct 3, 2025
SGP Correlation, Explained for DFS & Pick’em (2025): Why Some Combos Pay Less — With Examples
Same-Game Parlays (SGPs) and pick’em combos are everywhere in fantasy sports and sportsbooks. But many players are surprised when they see certain combinations pay less than expected. This article explains what correlation means, why it matters, and how EPICK makes multipliers transparent and fair.
What Is SGP Correlation?
SGP correlation is the relationship between two or more picks from the same game. If one pick directly impacts another, they are correlated.
High correlation: QB yards + WR yards (likely to succeed together).
Negative correlation: RB rushing yards + QB passing yards (less likely to both succeed).
Low/independent correlation: Two players from different teams or categories.
Why does this matter? Because payouts are based on probabilities. If outcomes are more likely to happen together, the combined multiplier must adjust.
Why Do Some Combos Pay Less?
On sportsbooks, users often complain when “parlay odds are slashed.” This is because overlapping probability lowers expected payout.
Example:
Independent combo: 2 picks → 3.0X payout.
Correlated combo: 2 picks → 2.2X payout.
This isn’t a scam—it’s math. Without adjustments, correlated combos would create inflated win chances. EPICK shows correlation transparently through adjusted multipliers.
EPICK’s Approach to Correlated Picks
At EPICK, fairness and clarity are built into the platform.
Transparent multipliers: Users see adjusted payouts before confirming entries.
Balanced rewards: Independent picks may yield higher multipliers; correlated picks still pay fairly.
Skill-based edge: Understanding correlation helps you build sharper entries.
👉 For more on contest details, check the Contest Rules.
👉 To see where EPICK is available, visit State Availability.
Practical Examples of Correlation
NFL Example:
Mahomes 300+ Passing Yards + Kelce 90+ Receiving Yards.
These two picks are positively correlated—when one hits, the other usually does. EPICK adjusts the multiplier to reflect this.MLB Example:
Pitcher Over 7 Ks + Opponent Under 2 Runs.
Strong correlation, since strikeouts usually suppress runs.NBA Example:
LeBron Over 25 Points + Lakers Win.
Outcome overlap means multiplier is adjusted downward.
For a deeper breakdown of building entries, check out our Picks Mode Guide.
FAQ: SGP Correlation in DFS & Pick’em
What is SGP correlation in DFS and pick’em contests?
SGP correlation refers to how multiple picks within the same game are related. Highly correlated picks overlap in outcome, which lowers payouts.
Why do correlated picks pay less?
Because their probabilities overlap, making them easier to hit together. Multipliers adjust to keep payouts fair.
How does EPICK handle correlated picks?
By showing correlation-adjusted multipliers upfront so you know the exact value before locking in picks.
What’s an example of NFL correlation?
QB + WR yardage props are highly correlated; if the QB goes over, the WR likely does too.
Where can I see EPICK’s official rules?
Visit the Contest Rules or State Availability pages.
Conclusion: Mastering Correlation for Better Entries
Correlation is not your enemy—it’s your opportunity. Understanding why multipliers shift helps you find undervalued combos and avoid overpriced ones. EPICK puts this power in your hands with transparent payouts and fair adjustments.